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What is a pip?

currency, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, trade, USD/JPY 0 comments

Forex price are quoted in pips. Pip represents "percentage in point", and this is the 4th decimal place, that is 1/100th of one percent. In EUR/USD, a 3 pip spread is usually quoted as 1.2400/1.2403. If you are familiar with the quote prices of many currencies, you will discover that only the Japanese Yen is quoted in 2 decimal places. All other currencies are quoted in 4 decimal places.

For instance, the USD/JPY 4 pip spread is quoted as 113.00/113.04. This is like 1/100th of the Yen, compared to the 1/1000th ot most other currencies.

Base currency
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Base currency

1. Base currency
When a base currency is the US Dollars, and the currency pair goes up, then it means that the US dollars has appreciated against the quoted currency.

Example, in the USD/JPY pair, if the first is 118.30, and after a while the price becomes 119.00, then it is said that the dollar have appreciated against the Japanese yen. It can also mean that the dollar is now strong enough to purchase more Japanese yen.

But there are certain exceptions to the general rule, such as the British Pound (GBP), Euro (EUR), and the Australian dollar (AUD). Example, when you see the GBP/USD quote price as 1.9000, this means that 1 British pound can buy 1.9000 US dollars. This also applies to the EUR/USD pair, and some others.

In this type of currency pair where the US Dollar is not the base currency, when there is a rise in the price of the quote, it means the dollar is getting weaker. This is because you need more money to be able to buy the base currency, such as the Euro, Pound, and Australian dollar.

And consequently, when the rise is also going down, it means the dollar is take a rise in value. And you need less US dollars to buy the base currency.

Cross currency
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Cross currency

2. Cross currency
Such currencies pair that doesn't have the US dollar are usually referred to cross currencies, but the general rule are the same. Example, in the EUR/JPY of quote price of 125.90 means that the you need 125.90 Japanese yen to purchase 1 Euro. The basic rule is the same. If you get into the Forex trading, you will see that there is always a "bid" and "ask" price.

The bid quote is the price where you can go short the base currency in a particular trade, and the ask price is the price where you can go long on the base currency on a trade.

All these will get familiar to you when you stay on Forex for a while.


Sunday, November 23, 2008



Using technical indicators 3

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In this part three of using technical indicators, we will be talking about bollinger bands, MACD, and fibonacci replacements. So sit back and relax while you learn.

Bollinger bands
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Bollinger bands

1. Bollinger bands
The use of bollinger bands are to determine extreme highs or lows with relationship to price. They come about with volatility curves. The use of bollinger bands are more complex han many others. It involves the establishment of parameters for trading, depending on the moving average of a specific instrument.
You might need the help of an experienced fores trader to help you dive through this technical indicator, because it can not be explained without many different diagrams.

MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence
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MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence

2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
This indicator is more detailed moving average used to search out trading signals with the use of price charts. The MACD developed by Gerald Appel plots the difference between a 26-day exponential moving average and a 12-day exponential moving average. At most time, a 9-day moving average is used as a line for trigger. This means that when the MACD line crosses lower than the trigger, it means there is a bearish signal. And vice versa, for the bullish signal.

What many forex traders do is to allow MACD provide them with an early divergent signal so that they can have an idea of when to get into the market.

In the case where the MACD is positive, and there are higher lows, it could mean a signal for buying a position. And if your MACD shows lower highs, this can also mean a signal for selling a position.

Fibonacci retracements
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Fibonacci retracements

3. Fibonacci retracements
This type of indicators are a series of numbers that was discovered by Leonardo da Pisa who is a mathematician during the 12th century.

The fibonacci retracement is very useful in analysing pullbacks in forex trading today. It involves the anticipation of trand changes not far from the created lines. After a real and good price move in either direction, there is usually a price retracement along the original move in either direction. As these retracements go on, there are usually occurrence of supports and resistance levels at or close near the Fibonacci retracement levels.


Monday, November 10, 2008



Using technical indicators 2

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Another indicatoe we will talk about is the Stochastics and the Relative Strength Index. These tow indicators are also very helpful in market forecast.

Stochastics
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Stochastics

1. Stochastics
This indicator helps fores traders to determine and monitor a trend's sustainability. Forex trader can determine the closing price of a current trade with relationship to the performance of the previous indicator that was analysed. In the use of stochastics, two measured and represented lines %K and %D are drawn on a scale from range 0 to 100.

If you get an indication above 80, it means that there will be a very strong upward movement of price, and if your indications show less than 20, it means there is also a strong movement downwards.

Stochastics EUR-GBP
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Stochastics EUR-GBP

You simply do not need the mathematical calculations, all you need is what you are told by the stochastics.

The fast line and fast indicator is the %K, while the slow line is the %D. When there is about to be a reverse direction in the market prices, the %K line crosses over the %D line.

Stochastics GBP-JPY
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Stochastics GBP-JPY

Take note that sometimes there could be several crossing of both lines in a choppy market, when prices are flunctuating, so you don't have to bother about it. It actually means no market directions at this point.

The use of stochastics is very helpful in the determination of trend strength, and the possibility of a reversal in market prices.

Relative Strength Index
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Relative Strength Index

2. Relative Strength Index
The use of the RSI is mainly to measure the momentum of a market direction. Just like the stochastics, it is plotted on a range scale of 0 - 100. If you get a measurement of more than 80, then you buy into the market, and a measurement of less than 20, you need to sell out of the market.

With this you simply understand that prices do not go in one direction forever, when the go up, at a point it must surely come down, and RSI will help you determine that time. You can also act on divergence as a forex trader using RSI, but you have to be patient enough to wait for conformations before diving to open a position.

These two indicators explained in part 2 are for your to master and get tem to work in your favor.


Monday, November 10, 2008



Using technical indicators 1

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Once you tap into the use of technical indicators, and you master them, then you are on the beginning to making good profits from forex trading. In the use of technical analysis, the main tool is the price chart. But you also have to know that this is not the only importnt thing. You can just look at a price chart, and expect to drive your way into making profit.

technical indicators
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technical indicators

Technicians have emplyed the use of candlesticks, bar charts, Xs and Os, and all these have helped them get into the basic of understanding the price direction, and knowing everything about it. In this section we will be talking moving averages. The moving averages indicator exist in 3 types.

We have the simple, weighted, and exponential. All these functions in different ways. Lets see them.

SMA Simple moving average
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SMA - Simple moving average

1. Simple moving average
With this indicator, you can give an equal weight to each price point over a period of time. Here the user will determine if the high,low, or close is used, then he adds the price points together and averages it. Then this individual price points are added to the previous string and a line is drawn. As new price points are added, the sample set will continue to drop off the oldest points.

This is actually the most commonly used moving average among all of them.

Weighted moving average
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Weighted moving average

2. Weighted moving average
With this type, there is more emphasis on the latest data. There is always a weighting factor which varies from day to day. You will then multiply each data point by the weighting factor. When you use this, you will be able to smooth out a curve, and have the average to be very responsive to current price changes.

Exponential moving average
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Exponential moving average

3. Exponential moving average
This also works like the weighted moving average. The exponential moving average multiplies a percentage of the most recent price by the former average price of that period. This is a more complex method, but once you master the logic, then you are on the go.

You can be sure that all 3 types of moving work different and you need ample time to study, draw, and plot as many lines as possible to be able to determine the market trend.

In short, being a technician is not a day's work, it is about devotion, and setling for the best and right indicator that works for you.


Monday, November 10, 2008



Using indicators to identify trends

currency, deposit, forex market, trade position 0 comments

If you have been in the forex market for some time, you would have come across this saying many times "the trend is your friend". Most of the time, traders who use this saying use it when they have made a loss in a counter-trading position.

Forex traders
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Forex traders

Forex traders become very sad because they have lost a deposit, and again they were not part of the reverse trend movement which will have brought back the profits to the table.

In order for you to be successful with your trading, we encourage you take a look at some tecniques that will help you indentify when a trend is in place, with the use of indicators to drive your way to making reasonable profits from it. If you are a forex trader and you don't have a strategy inplace, then you might not be successful in forex trading.

The movement of prices of currencies have been shown to move in a trending pattern, because of long-term macroeconomic elements which moves these rates of exchange. These elements include interest rates, global trade imbalances, and many others.

analyse trend
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Identifying a trend
With regards to the meaning of trend, it means a sustained market movement in a specific direction, which is either a uptrend or a downtrend. Many forex traders could give different and several meanings to what trend is. But to give a good meaning of trends, it is a predicted response to price at support/resistance levels which changes with time.

As an example, when there is an uptrend, the main visible feature is the rebound of prices when they reach levels of support, thereby creating new highs. In a downtrend, it means the same thing but in the opposite direction. As soon as you see this on a chart, it simply means there is a trend in place.

trendline
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trendline

Now the major tool to identify this trend is trendline analysis. This tool (trendline analysis) is used to make an establishment of resistance and support levels for your market prices.

So in the next topic we will be talking about trendlines analysis fully, so that you can understand the use of technical indicators to identify such trends. They have worked for many forex traders, and it will surely work for you if you apply them correctly.

The application of these analysis are what guarantees you a smooth ride through your trend movement.


Saturday, September 27, 2008



Trendline analysis and DMI

economic indicators, forex analysis, trade position, traders 0 comments

The use of trendline analysis is just to help forex traders establish levels of resistance and support for your market prices. With this analysis intact, you will be able to know when to get in and out of your trading positions.

Trendline analysis
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Trendline analysis

Although, many traders do not focus on using trendline analysis, because they feel it is excessively subjective in nature. Well, that is not altogether false, but there are also many advantages that are offered to traders, such as focusing the attention on the price movement, and filtering out the market noise.

So if these reasons are there, trendline analysis is the first thing to consider when determining the existence of the trend. If you do not get anything from your trendline analysis, then there is not a trend afterall.

long timeframes trendline analysis
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long timeframes / trendline analysis

Trendline analysis is most suited when it starts with a long timeframes such as the daily or weekly charts, then it moves into a more shorter timeframe (hourly or 4-hourly). By using this, shorter support/resistance can be seen. You will surely be able to recognize the vital support/resistance levels first, and then the less vital onces next.

With this feature, you will be able to focus on good, long trends, rather than staying on short trends that show themselves.

Another technical indicator which can be used to identify if a trend is in place is the directional movement indicator (DMI). With the use of DMI, guesswork is removed, and the confirmation of the trend is validated in combination with trendline analysis.

DMI
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DMI

The DMI system composes of the ADX (average directional movement index) and the DI+ and DI- lines.

The ADX can determine if there is a market trend, not minding if it is an uptrend or downtrend. If you get a measurement above 25, it indicates there is a trend in position, and a reading below 20 means that there is no trend in position. Also you can determine the strength of a trend. If the ADX is high, then the trend is strong, and if the ADX is low, the trend is not strong.

The DMI system gives the best result when the components are both used. You can use the DI+ and DI- lines as your trading signals. When the DI+ line crosses up through the DI- line, it means a buy signal, and when the DI- crosses up through the DI+ line, then it means a sell signal.


Tuesday, July 08, 2008



Trend vs. no trend

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Knowing which technical indicator to use in the identifying of trends is vitally important as much as making profits from the forex market.

technical indicator
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technical indicator

Trust me, the trend can go agaoinst you if you don't have a good strategy, if you can't identify it, and if you don't know which technical indicator to use. You can be sure the trend will be your enemy at this time.

For the purpose of study, we will discuss on which technical indicator you can use to identify trends.

You should also be aware that trend do not occur as usual as sideways movement. Sideways occurs all the time, but when trends show up, it is an opportunity for you to tap into it and enjoy the ride to profits making.

long-term trends
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long-term trends

As an example, currency market have shown to have more long-term trends than many other markets. These long-term trends as we know from previous discussions are caused as a result of macroeconomic elements.

In the history of the forex market, the analysis have shown that the periods that trend occurs are only 1/3, while that of no trend accounts for 2/3 of the market price over a period of time.

trend, no-trend
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trend/no-trend paradox

Making the situation more difficult is by using one or two technical indicators to identify the direction of the market, and then open a position based on this analysis. This type of approach opens traders to the trend/no-trend paradox. So you will usually find many forex traders closing a position and then realizing that the main and real trend is just unfolding and starting to move. Apparently, they miss out the action.

Again, there are traders who hold on to an open position, thinking a trend will come out of it, whereas there is no trend at all.

In other not to be caught in this trend/no-trend paradox, there are several indicators and techniques that will be shown to you to help you determine when trends are coming into existence.

The essence of this information is to give you an indication of your real entry point, and your real exit point. Also you get opportunities to know what risk management strategies will work for you. You apparently do not need to set up a lot of techniques, but you can get just a few techniques and turn profits into your accounts daily.


Monday, July 07, 2008



Trade examples

currency, economic indicators, EUR/USD, profits, traders, USD/JPY 0 comments

These are some trade examples that will help you know that forex trading is real. You can check up the statistics whenever you want to, and also be confident to study it from time to time.

forex trading
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forex trading

I have also learnt that examples help fores traders to set goals, and targets for their trading techniques, which is a good thing. Here are some examples for your learning.

EUR-USD pair
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EUR/USD pair

1. The first example was between the EUR/USD pair, and it occurred in the fourth week of June 2002.

Fisrt, i want you to observe the hourly and 10-minute EUR/USD charts. Take note of when the price is above the 200-period moving averages on the two charts. On the hourly chart, the price is almost above the 200-hour moving average, and it very much means an uptrend. On the 10-minute chart, prices reman above the moving average towards the last third of the chart. So what you have to look out for is find an entry point, that is the market is within 20 points of the moving average on the 10-minute chart, and also the stochastic lines ave made a cross.

So at about 1 p.m. and the midnight on June 27, the requirements are met. That is the entry point is where the fast stochastic cross over the slow stochastic, when the indicator is below 20 points.

You see there is a buy at the 0.9883 price at about 8 p.m., and a stop loss is placed at 0.9858, which is 10 points below the 200-bar moving average. And this stop loss is trailed upwards whenever the price rises. And also the currency pair gets to its top at 0.9992, and the stop loss is now at 0.9967 where the market position was closed and a profit of 84 pips was made which is $840 profit.

USD-JPY pair
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USD/JPY pair

2. The second example gives an illustration that is similar to the one above, but in this case it is the USD/JPY currency pair.

Take note that prices were trading mch below the 200-moving average after the 21st of June. On the 10-minute chart, the market prices went below the moving average after 10 a.m. on 27th June, which clearly indicates going short on the currency. Also observe that prices went below the 20 points of the moving average. At 5 p.m., a position was opened at 119.57, just as the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow stochastic line, when the indicator was above 80. A trailing stop was placed at 119.86, and the trade was still on till the next day, and it was closed at price 118.58 for a 99 pips profit.


Monday, July 07, 2008



Tools and rules

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You might want to look at one of the tools and rules of certain instruments. This is very helpful if you want be successful in your trading experience. Before you can actually master this rules, you have to work by certain steps to help you find your way through the whole process.

Identify a trend
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Identify a trend

Step 1 - Identify a trend. You should also make a comparation between the moving averages on the 10-minutes and hourly charts. You can identify a trend when you notice that the price is persistently above/below the moving average as seen on the two charts.

stochastic line forex
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stochastic line

Step 2 - Determine your point of entry. As soon as you identify a trend, you should look for these conditions on a 10-minute chart at the same time.

First, look for when the market is 20 points above or below the moving average (to buy and to sell respectively).

Second, look for when the fast stochastic line crosses over the slow stochastic line below 20, which is a buy signal, or below the slow stochastic line above 80, which means to sell.

The conditions you look for means you are about to see a shrt-term downtrend, or uptrend, and again it means that the currency is pulling back or stopped.

Stochastics refresher
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Stochastics refresher

Step 3 - Ride with the trend, but set trailing stop immediately you enter. If you buy, set a stop loss order about 10 points below the 200-period moving average on the 10-minute chart, and if you sell do the same thing above. As profits begin to come in, raise your stop loss order higher or lower to save some profits.

* Stochastics refresher
As we know, there are two lines which are the %K, and the %D. The general and main stochastics calculation gives a comparation of the most recent close to the range of the price, over a time period (the high of the range - the low of the range). A five-bar stochastic calculation gives the difference between the most recent bar's close and the lowest low of the last five days divided by the difference between the highest high and the lowest low of the last five days. After all these calculations, you then multiply the result by 100.

Below is the formula for this calculation, that is the %K.

%K = 100*{(Ct-Ln)/(Hn-Ln)} , where
Ct = the most recent bar's closing price
Ln = the lowest price of the most recent n bars
Hn = the highest price of the most recent n bars
(for a stochastic calculated on daily bars, the default is five days).
The second line, %D, is simply a three-period moving average of %K: average(%K,3)


Monday, July 07, 2008



Technical indicators

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For you to be successful as a forex trader, you definitely need to understand the use of indicators for determining the direction of the market.

Getting to understand this aspect of forex trading gives a real edge over ordinary speculators. Although it also takes time to be able to understand them, but once you do, then you are on the beginning of your wealth creation using forex trading.

Technical indicators
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Technical indicators

For the purpose of introduction, you will be given a few technical indications that usually help forex users get a view of where the market is going over a period of time. This time period may be one day for intra-day traders, or a long term for long term traders. Also, mastering these technical indicators is also very important.

Some of these indicators that are helpful are grouped into different category for your easy knowledge and understanding.

volume indicators
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Strength indicators

1. Strength indicators
These type of indicators gives you an idea of the strength of the market and its direction with regards to price and time, with the amount of participation of in a trade.

An example of this indicator is the "volume indicator". With this indicator you can be sure you are forcasting the right market direction.

Trend indicators
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Trend indicators

2. Trend indicators
The word trend in forex means the consistent movement of price in a particular direction with regards to time. There are 3 types of trends, which are the up trend, down trend, and sideways. With this kind type of address, you can simply figure out when to enter and get out of a position.

Some examples are the moving averages, trend lines, and others.

cycle indicators
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Cycle indicators

3. Cycle indicators
This type of indicators gives a repetition of patterns on market direction. Such events as eletions, particular seasons, and many other activities fall under this cycle indicator.

Examples are the Elliott wave indicator.

volatility indicators
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Volatility indicators

4. Volatility indicators
An example is the Bollinger bands. This kind of indicator describes sizes, and variations in market prices.
Of course prices flunctuates, and getting the right indicator is the key.

Support-resistance indicators
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Support/resistance indicators

5. Support/resistance indicators
With this type of indicator you can determine the limits of the market prices. This means that you can set a resistance for price rise, and a support for price falls.

Momentum indicators
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Momentum indicators

6. Momentum indicators
Examples are Stochastic, MACD, RSI. With this, you can figure out the speed of market prices with relationship to time.


Sunday, July 06, 2008



Introduction to technical analysis

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Technical analysis simply means the use of past market information and direction, with the use of certain indicators to determine the next direction and trend of the market.

Technical analysis
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Technical analysis

Many Forex technicians take a lot of market data from various market prices targets, and compare it with each other.

Price data is the most widely used information data to determine the next future market direction. Some other forex technicians will concentrate on volumes and other technical indicators.

The most important thing when using technical indicators is to concentrate, and focus on the market direction, with systematic analysis. This information is not collected within one day's trade, it is collected over time, or a long period of time.

And once you master the technique of using the indicators with an average level of accuracy, then i can guarantee you at least more that 60 percent success with your forex trading.

In short, all traders use at least one form of technical indicator. Even a beginner will first look at the chart, see the movement pattern, and then choose where to enter and which direction to face in the trade, whether going long or short.

The charts they look at help them determine the market price, and the movement over time. Although just gambling into a trade will not help you at all, and you can lose a hug chunk of your deposit.

Charts can also be a very useful tool for an advanced forex trader. The most important thing is know when to enter and get out of a trade position. An advanced forex trader will use more sophisticated technical analytical method to fugure out where a market direction is going.

Also fundamental data and informations will also help a technician to determine the market direction. But the truth also is that all the fundamental data is still embedded in the price dat, so if you do not know how to get across and understand your chart and data, then you might need the help of an experienced forex trader to help you figure it out.

Fundamentalists will tell you all they need is the happenings around the world, and they know when to go in and out of a trade. So don't bother about that, since we are talking about technical analysis on this page.

Entering the market at the right time, will help you guarantee a sizabe profit for your investment.


Saturday, July 05, 2008



Techincal analysis assumptions

EUR/USD, forex analysis, trade 0 comments

The assumptions of technical analysis are that all market prices, and market fundamentals are represented on the chart. Also you don't need to see or look for the hopes, anxiety, and other factors in the chart or market data.

Techincal analysis assumptions
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Techincal analysis assumptions

Also technicians have discovered that history repeats itself, and the market moves in a direction that is exactly similar or at least in a way predictable. These are referred to as signals. These signals are patterns generated by the movement of price.

So therefore, technical analysis uncovers the secrets of the future market prices after studying and observing past market prices.

stock market prices
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stock market prices

Prices have been discovered to move in trend, and technicians know that they are not just random movement, they are moving in a real predictable pattern. Prices moves in three directions: sideways, up and down.

Usually, trends continue over a period of time, once they are identified. So what technicians do are to look for the possibility of a trend movement and then they buy or sell into the market.

The main components of a forex technician are the volume charts, price charts, and many other graphical representations of different market informations that can be used to measure the strength and movement of a trend. This means that to be a technician, you must be able to use many other technical tools to forecast market direction, and not just rely on price charts alone.

If you are desiring to be a technician, you have to be very disclipned. The use of these technical tools require discipline. There are cases where many traders will still hang on to a position, even when the technical analysis tells them to enter or get out. All these are what a technician to be should handle.

For example, assuming you are long on the EUR/USD pair, and you establish a stop loss at around 30 pips from your entry point. If for some reasons your expectations are not correct, and the price moves and gets to your stop loss point, you should not hold on to that position expecting it to turn around and rise. You must have a real trading plan, on where to take your profits, and cut your losses.

Don't hang on to a lossing trade.


Saturday, July 05, 2008



Take opportunity of short-term trends

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An interest thing to do in forex is cashing in on short-term trends. It is sometimes difficult to identify a trend, and when you do not get a trend, that doesn't mean you have no traders to make that day.

stock trading strategy
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stock trading strategy

If you want to use this trading strategy, you need to two time frames in other to identify this short-term trend. The first one is an overbought -oversold indicator to get a good entry point into the market, and the second is a trailing stop. This trailing stop helps you protect your profits on good and viable trades.

The trading strategies of many fores traders are that they assume that the market will stay in between a given range. But you can only give this assumptions if you use the right indicators to back up the reasons. A large percentage of the time, you will discover that the market prices moves back and forward with a resistant and support level, or randomly flunctuate. The other percentage of time, the market is seen to move in a persistent direction of price. This simply means that the trends certainly break over or above the resistant and support levels.

Well, in as much as many traders have benefitted from using this strategies, many other traders who try to exploit these trends have failed and have lost a lot of money in that process. The only way to use this strategy of cashing in on short-term trends is to be able to locate trend signals of when to enter and get out of the market.

To be successful, you need to identify these entrt points, and then also limit your losses by employing the use of good and sound risk management techniques. As a aspirant of a successful trader, you need to focus on your trading strategies and let your profits come to you, and cut your losses to the barest minimum.

As part of these informations articles given here, we will later be talking about how the system of trading works for you.

The currency market, or forex market has many opportunity for you to make money, but you also have to "opportunity" to lose money. Dealing with the major currencies which are the US dollars, Euro, Japanese yen, British pounds, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc, and the Australian dollar.

Certainly more than 85 percent of all daily trade involves the major currencies.


Thursday, July 03, 2008



Quoting currencies

currency, GBP/USD, trade, USD/CAD, USD/JPY 0 comments

Quoting currencies is one important part of forex trading you must understand so well enough. The currencies you trade must be well stated, and their relationship with each other, and also their worth to each other should be known.

forex trading experience
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forex trading experience

At the beginning of your forex trading experience, it may seem complex and confusing. This confusion comes about because currencies are quoted in various ways, different from the way equities are quoted.

So understanding the quoting of currencies will become very easy for you if you understand that the base currency is the first currency that is quoted. Again you must know that value of the base currency is 1.

Let's give an example so that you can understand how it works.

If you see a USD/CAD quote of about 1.5000, this simply means that 1 USD is equal to 1.5000 Canadian dollars. Or it means that you can buy one USD with 1.5000 Canadian dollars.

Similarly, if you see the USD/JPY currency pair, first you know that the US dollar is the bse currency, and the value is 1. So for a quote of USD/JPY of 118.00, this simply means that you can buy 1 USD with only 118.00 Japanese Yen, or 1 USD is equal to 118.00 Japanese Yen.

Quoting currencies
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Quoting currencies

As soon as the US dollars is the base currency, this principle works very fine. But there are some exceptions to this principle, and this is seen in the case of these 3 currencies; the British pound (GBP), the European currency unit (EUR), and the Australian dollar (AUS). So if you see a case where the British pound is the base currency, then it means the value of the GBP is 1. So in a case of the GBP/USD quote of 2.0000, this simply means that 1 British pounds is equal to 2.0000 US dollars, or 1 GBP can buy 2 USD.

Also, the rise of the base currency means that the value of that currency has appreciated against the other one. If US dollars is the base currency against the Yen, and the price goes up, it means that the US dollars is appreciating against the Yen, or you will need more Yen to buy the US dollars.

For example, if the USD/JPY quote is 118.00, and it rises to 119.00, that means the dollars have appreciated. It also means the same thing if the prices fall, that the US dollars have depreciated against the Yen.

But in the case where the base currency is not the US dollars, a rising price simply means that the US dollars is depreciating.


Wednesday, July 02, 2008



Other advantages of forex

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There are many advantages of trading Forex, and they will be outline for you shortly.

forex advantages
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forex advantages

1. Execution costs
Other financial market will charge commissions for trade, but the Forex market does not. The cost of execution is the difference in price between the Bid/Ask. This is called the spread.

This spread varies from broker to broker.

Forex trendiness
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Forex trendiness

2. Trendiness
There are usually trends in the Forex markets, which has been noticed and seen over time. The trend moves differs from one currency to another because they all have their specific uniqueness.

Once this trends are identified, moving with it can bring about great profits in the Forex market.

Successful traders
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Successful traders

3. Focus
Unlike stocks and other financial markets where you have lots and lots of stocks, bonds, and others, the Forez market only concentrates on 1-4 currencies. The most common are the British Pounds, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and the Euro. Successful traders will usually concentrate on just a few currency pairs, and beginners usually take one pair for their Forex trading.

high margin account
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high margin account

4. Margin Accounts
Before the commencement of trading, you need to open a margin account. The margin account varies from broker to broker. Some require a high margin account of about $5,000, while some will require only $1,000.

Your trading period will also determine your margin account. If you want to hold a position for a day, it requires a low margin account, but if you wish to hold a trade for days, weeks, months, you should be expecting a high margin account.
All orders are to be carried out through a Forex broker.

Note: A margin account is just like a performance bond. To become a Forex trader you need a margin account. When profits are made, they are automatically deposited into your account, and when you make losses, they are also taken out of you account. This system makes it plain and reliable, as you can see your account balance yourself.
You should also be sure that your profits can get back to you, not just sit in your account. Forex brokers will usually advice that you withdraw profits from time to time to allow you gain confidence with the system.

When a trader withdraws his profit, he feels so comfortable and willing to trade more as to increase his account balance for the next withdrawal.

You profits can also get back to you in various ways. It can be wire transferred, or sent by cheques.


Tuesday, July 01, 2008



Margin trading: stocks vs forex

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The meaning of 'Margin' in stock is not the same when it comes to forex. They simply mean different thing.

Margin trading
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Margin trading

In stocks trading you need about 50 percent margin to trade which is very high. An example is this, if the value of microsoft shares is valued at $300/share, purchasing 200 units wil require you to pay $60,000 ($300 multiply by 200 units), and when you use margin, you will pay about $30,000 for the value of those 200 units.

The rest of the money is borrowed, and interest is being paid on such money. So as you can see, margin trading in stock is quite expensive, interest focused, and not suitable for all traders.

In forex, margin trading is something more interesting. Margin is the smallest money that you are required to open a trade. When an account is opened, the deposit you pay is the margin, and it is basically 1% of the worth of the position. As an example, when you purchase about $100,000 of USD/JPY, and this is at a leverage of 100:1, the amount that is required is only 1% which is about $1,000.

Where is the other $99,999 coming from?

The other money is collaterized with the rest in your account, and another interesting thing, you will not be paying any interest. You should also be aware that when you increase your leverage, you consequently increase your risk. The only way to reduce this risk is to watch your account balance on a regular basis, and also make use of stop-loss orders to cut down losses.

Lets give you a demostration of the effect of leverage.

If you have an acount balance of $5,000, and you want to purchase the USD/CHF pair, because you think the USD will rise in value. Ok thats a good one. At a current bid/ask price of 1.2300/1.2305, which you can sell 1 USD for 1.2300, and buy CHF for 1.2305. The spread is 5 pips, take note of that.

If your leverage is 100:1, your first deposit will be $1,000 for this trade.
And if at your speculation, the rise moves from its intial cost to 1.2380/1.2385, which is considered a rise of 80 pips, you need to sell off your USD for the CHF. Now selling price will be at 1.2380. So selling your position gives you a profit of about 750 CHF. Converted to USD, you will have a profit of $605.

This calculation is arrived at by dividing the profit in CHF by the current rate (750 divided by 1.2380).

In summary, you bought a trade with $1,000, and made $605 as profit, you return is about 60%. So if you bought this trade without the use of leverage, you won't make any significant return, and it will certainly be less than 1%.


Tuesday, July 01, 2008



Looking at the chart

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As a forex trader you certainly cannot trade without the chart. The chart is exactly what gives you a sense of direction as to whether to go long or go short on a particular currency pair.

forex trade chart
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forex trade chart
When looking at a chart, you will the current price marked with a line, and you will also the previous trend patterns with the time of that price at the base of the chart.

There are actually several chart patterns to help you with your speculation. The one you see often times is the bar chart. The bar chart is one with a thickened vertical line showing two small horizontal edges, one at the upper side and the other at the lower side.

These small horizontal edges indicates the opening price at the beginning of a particular time, and the close price at the end of that time period. The time period can vary very widely. It can vary from one minutes, to hours, to days, months, and years. But the choice of time period depends on you.

Another chart pattern you will see is the candlestick pattern. This chart pattern is mostly used because it provides the ability to forcast market prices. The ability is seen in the colors of the candlestick chart pattern. The color helps you know when the prices are going up, or going down, and then specualtions can be made. Also take note that it is placed over time.

You can also consider the point and figure pattern. This type of chart pattern gives you the ability to determine a change in market movement or direction. Just like the bar charts, you will see the similarities except that the Xs and the Os gives you this mentioned ability. You must also take note that with the point and figure chart patterns you will not be see the time period. This practically doesn't work with time like the other ones mentioned above.

Different people build their dependednce on these various chart patterns, which is a good idea. Everyone should not be using the bar chart, or the candlestick. They provide you with different price direction and market speculation features that will help you make the right choice on when to enter and get out of the market.

Also the study of these various chart pattern will help give you a combined accurate speculation of market trends, and direction. For those who just get used to one, you certainly may not be able to give a more accurate analysis of market directions.
Take use of these informations and let them get you to your desire profit making point in your trading experience.


Friday, June 27, 2008



Leverage and execution quality

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Forex trading in carried out in currency lots. Every lot is approximately 100,000 US dollars of foreign currency. In order to be a ble to carry out trades on Forex market, you must have a margin account with a Forex broker.

trades on Forex market
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trades on Forex market

Actually, this is like a bank account from which losses will be subtracted and profits deposited. The use of this account is instant, that is as soon as you open or close a trade position, losses are subtracted and profits deposited.

There are different regulations on margin accounts depending on your Forex Broker. Many Forex broker will require about $1,000 deposit to begin day trading a currency lot. The meaning of day trading as the name implies is the opening and closing a trade position in one day.

For a long-term position, may Forex broker will require about $2,000 per lot deposit.
In contrast to stock trading and other market, you need at least 50% margin account of your intended stock trade. But in Forex trading, you can control a large lot with just a small margin account. This is done through leverage. As an example i can open a 2 lot position with just 2% of the worth value.

The execution quality of the Forex market is very perfect. Because of the liquidity of the Forex market, many trade can be opened and closed at the current market price.
Although slippage can not be avoided in Forex markets, just like all other fast moving markets, many Forex broker's software have tried to beat it. That is you are notified of your exact opening price just before execution, and you will be given the opportunity to avoid or accept the slippage.

Your trade positions are confirmed immediately, and the internet user only needs to print a copy of these confirmations for record purposes. There are also many sayings about internet Forex trading being safer than the telephone trading. This is because you see the price it is, and you can decide to accept or reject it.

Also the telephone trading also has its advantages. In the case of internet disconnection, telephone calls can be made to your Forex broker to help you close or open trades.

You can be sure that your account informations are secure because Forex brokers uses systems that are protected by firewalls.


Friday, June 27, 2008



Introduction to fundamental analysis

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Fundamental analysis is simply the examination and observation of the main elements that affects the economy of a specific instrument. This observation makes an attempt to forecast the action of price and market movement by simply analyzing economic indicators, societal factors, government policies, and many others with the market cycle. Looking at the forex market, you will discover that it is affceted by many factors which in turn enable analyst to forecast correctly the next market movement. In an instance, looking at a clock may seem very simple in order to tell the time, but a fundamentalist will tell you what brought about that time, and what it will be in the future. Sounds simple right?

forex fundamental analysis
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forex fundamental analysis

Actually, forex analysis is divided into the technical analysis and the fundamental analysis. Most of the time, when you introduce yourself as a forex trader, they ask you if you are a technician or a fundamentalist, this is the situation of the market operation.

These two methods are interdependent. The fundamentalist will in a way also keep an eye of price charts, while a technician also rely on certain economic information and data, that affect the price of the market.

You can be certain that fundamental analysis will only give you a view of the conditions of the market and where it might be heading, but it won't give you an exact price market situation. Looking at this example, when you start to analyze an economic forecast of an employment report, you would be needing to understand the forces that bring about this change, but another important thing is getting to understand how it relates to developing a strategy that works for you on how to trade the currencies involved with your analysis. That is getting into the market, making profits and getting out of the market.

A forex trader that uses fundamental analysis understands that his analyses are right. By siply analyzing the interest rates, and excahnge rates of financial institutions which as caused by disasters, unemployment, and many other factors, he gets his conclusion and knows when to get into the market for profit making.


Thursday, June 26, 2008



Economic indicators

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Economic indicators are pieces of economic and financial data which are made know to the pulic by either the private sector or the governmnet. These informations which are published regularly help market observers in monitoring the situation of the economy. With the significance of these data, market prices can be greatly affected by volumes and prices tend to move in the direction of the effect.

forex trade positions
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forex trade positions

Fundamentalist therefore keep their ears open, to get these data and information, so that trade positions can be decided.

Economic indicators have the ability to bring about great volumes of positions, and therefore move market prices in a particular direction. In order to keep track of these data, you must have a detailed information on dates and releases of these data, and how they can affect prices.

Keeping track of these data of economic indicators can enable you make meaning out of some irrelevant and unexpected price movement in the market.

Example of these indicators are as follows:

GDP
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GDP

1. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
With the use of GDP, traders can know the pace of a country's growth, and this is one of the major indicators of fundamental analysis.

Industrial Production
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Industrial Production

2. Industrial Production
This shows the strength of a country's industrial ability. The companies, factories, industries, and their uses are all measured in this indicator.

PMI
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PMI

3. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
This indicates a country's manufacturing sistuation. These situations are export orders, import orders, prices of commodities, employment, and many others. This indicator is also divided into 2, which are the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sub-indices.

Other indicators includes Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods, Employment Cost Index (ECI), Retail Sales, and Housing Starts.


Wednesday, June 25, 2008



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    • ▼  2008 (25)
      • ▼  November (4)
        • What is a pip?
        • Using technical indicators 3
        • Using technical indicators 2
        • Using technical indicators 1
      • ►  September (1)
        • Using indicators to identify trends
      • ►  July (11)
        • Trendline analysis and DMI
        • Trend vs. no trend
        • Trade examples
        • Tools and rules
        • Technical indicators
        • Introduction to technical analysis
        • Techincal analysis assumptions
        • Take opportunity of short-term trends
        • Quoting currencies
        • Other advantages of forex
        • Margin trading: stocks vs forex
      • ►  June (4)
        • Looking at the chart
        • Leverage and execution quality
        • Introduction to fundamental analysis
        • Economic indicators
      • ►  May (1)
      • ►  April (1)
      • ►  March (1)
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